Saturday, 28 June 2025

Nifty 50 Outlook for July 2025

Nifty 50 Outlook for July 2025

·         Nifty 50 ended June at a strong 25,638 (June 27 close), marking a new 2025 high and sustaining a bullish breakout above the 25,500 mark for the first time since October 2024.

·         The index has gained nearly 3% in the June series, with small- and mid-cap indices also outperforming.

·         Market breadth and sectoral participation remain healthy, led by blue-chip stocks like Reliance Industries and major banks, while domestic institutional flows and SIPs continue to provide strong support—even as FIIs remain cautious.

Level

Value/Range

Commentary

Immediate Support

25,300–25,400

Key zone; buy-on-dips likely to emerge here

Strong Support

25,150–25,250

Next base if profit booking sets in

Immediate Resistance

25,650–25,750

Major hurdle; clearing this can open 26,000

Major Resistance

26,000

Psychological and technical target for July

·          (RSI, MACD, Stochastic) remain bullish, with Nifty forming higher lows for six straight sessions and closing above upper Bollinger Bands, signaling strong trend continuation.

·         : Maximum Call OI at 26,000; highest Put OI at 25,500, indicating a likely trading band between 25,500 and 26,000 in the near term.

·         : Bullish, with potential for new record highs if Nifty sustains above 25,500 and decisively breaks 25,750.

·         : 25,800 (gap-down area from Oct 2024), then 26,000. A sustained move above 26,000 could bring all-time highs (last seen at 26,277 in Sep 2024) within reach.

·         : Only a break below 25,400 would threaten the uptrend; below 25,150, expect deeper correction to 24,900.

·         :

·          above 25,400–25,300 support.

·          on a breakout above 25,750 for targets of 26,000+.

·         : Consider Bull Put Spreads or long futures with tight stop-losses below 25,300.

·         : Remain robust; SIPs and DIIs underpin the rally even as FIIs are on the sidelines.

·         : Inflation data, RBI commentary, and global risk sentiment.

·         : Continued leadership from large-caps, banks, and Reliance; watch for catch-up in IT and defensives if rally broadens.

Bias

Above 25,750

25,300–25,750 Range

Below 25,300

Bullish

26,000+

Buy on dips

Cautious/Profit booking

:

Nifty 50 enters July 2025 with strong bullish momentum, immediate support at 25,300–25,400, and targets of 25,800–26,000 if it breaks above 25,750. The trend remains positive, supported by domestic liquidity and sectoral strength. Only a fall below 25,300 would warrant caution. Traders should follow a buy-on-dips approach and watch for a breakout to new highs.

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