Monday, 26 May 2025

Nifty 50 Outlook for May 27, 2025

 

Nifty 50 Outlook for May 27, 2025

The Nifty 50 closed at 25,001.15 on May 26, 2025, marking its highest close since May 16 and signaling renewed bullish momentum. The index has decisively broken out above the psychological 25,000 mark, supported by strong sectoral performance—especially in Auto, IT, FMCG, and Metals

Technical Levels to Watch

Level

Value Range

Immediate Resistance

25,062 / 25,104 / 25,172 / 25,200–25,300

Immediate Support

24,925 / 24,883 / 24,815 / 24,800

Key Moving Averages

21-DEMA: ~24,530; 20-DMA: ~24,980

Immediate Resistance: A sustained move above 25,000 could propel Nifty towards 25,200–25,300, which aligns with the upper Bollinger Band and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. A breakout above this zone could trigger further upside

·         Immediate Support: 24,800 is the first line of support. If breached, the next significant support lies at 24,530–24,500, coinciding with key moving averages and previous breakout levels

Technical Indicators

·         RSI: At 61.45, nearing a positive crossover, indicating healthy momentum but also some caution at higher levels2.

·         MACD: Remains above the zero line, though a minor negative crossover is noted—suggesting momentum is positive but not without risk

·         Candlestick Pattern: Bullish candle with an upper shadow, indicating buying at lower levels but some selling pressure near resistance

Options Data & Sentiment

·         Call OI: Highest at 26,000 (resistance); significant at 25,000 and 25,500.

·         Put OI: Strongest at 24,800, reinforcing it as key support

·         Put-Call Ratio (PCR): At 1.06, slightly down from the previous session, but still reflecting a bullish undertone

·         India VIX: Rose 4.3% to 18.02, signaling increased volatility and some caution for bulls

Market Breadth & Sector Trends

·         Midcap and Smallcap: Outperformed, with the Nifty Midcap 100 up 0.67% and Smallcap 100 up 0.37%

·         Sectoral Leaders: Auto, IT, FMCG, and Metals led the gains36.

Expert Strategies

·         Buy on Dips: As long as Nifty holds above 24,800, a buy-on-dips approach is favored. Any move above 25,079 (Monday's high) could open the path to 25,200–25,300

·         Profit Booking: Watch for resistance near 25,200–25,300; partial profit booking is advisable if Nifty struggles to break through this zone

·         Risk Management: If Nifty slips below 24,800, expect increased selling pressure, with the next support at 24,530–24,500234.

Summary Table: Nifty 50 Outlook for May 27, 2025

Bias

Key Resistance

Key Support

Strategy

Bullish

25,200–25,300

24,800 / 24,530

Buy on dips above 24,800; book profits near resistance; watch for breakout above 25,300

 

In summary:
Nifty 50 is likely to extend its upward momentum toward 25,200–25,300 on May 27, 2025, provided it sustains above 24,800. The trend remains positive, but traders should monitor for volatility and potential profit booking near the upper resistance band. A decisive move above 25,300 could trigger a sharp rally, while a fall below 24,800 may invite selling pressure

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